Understanding Non-Deliverable Forwards in Forex Trading

The trader would need to sell a forward contract to deliver €1.0 at the end of the year for a price of $1.50. Indeed, one of the oldest and most commonly used derivatives is the forward contract, which serves as the conceptual basis for many other types of derivatives that we see today. Here, we take a closer look at forwards and understand how they work and where they are used. The most complex types of investment products often fall under the broad category of derivative securities.

  • The larger stock of positions in Chile declined by $9 billion between end-April and end-June 2013.
  • The spot rate at maturity is taken as the officially announced domestic rate or a market-determined rate.
  • A currency forward is a binding contract in the foreign exchange market that locks in the exchange rate for the purchase or sale of a currency on a future date.
  • Dollars per Euro, the annualized U.S. risk-free rate is 1% and the European annual risk-free rate is 4%.
  • The fixing date is the date at which the difference between the prevailing spot market rate and the agreed-upon rate is calculated.

Graph 5 shows that, as of April 2016, the Asian centres traded a mix of forwards that was very light in NDFs, compared with April 2013. This analysis should interest policymakers concerned about spillovers from an offshore NDF market to the onshore market. In addition, for observers of capital account liberalisation, the diversity in policy choices and NDF market developments offer a natural experiment on paths of currency internationalisation. Finally, this analysis helps policymakers to assess progress in derivatives reforms. The microstructure of NDF trading is evolving under the global force of legal and regulatory reforms of derivatives markets.

Forward Contracts and Other Derivatives

Businesses engaging in international transactions, particularly in emerging markets with currency controls, use NDFs to hedge against exchange rate fluctuations. The estimation results suggest that, by and large, domestic markets, not just NDFs, incorporate global factors. In particular, contemporaneously measured major exchange rates figure similarly in both deliverable forwards and NDFs.

non-deliverable forwards

At the same time, continuing restrictions do not preclude considerable market development, as seen with the Korean won. NDF markets may become more transparent and liquid as trading moves to authorised multilateral trading and centralised clearing in accord with the current wave of regulatory reforms. The fast-developing offshore deliverable market in the renminbi is challenging the incumbent NDF as a better hedging tool.

NDF Currencies

Given this convention standard, the direct quote will be utilized to explain how a forward contract can be used to implement a covered interest arbitrage strategy. Using DTCC and Triennial data, this box explores how renminbi market developments in August 2015 spilled over into emerging FX markets. This analysis using newly available turnover data sheds new light on international spillovers from China’s currency markets, heretofore identified through prices (Shu et al (2016)). The displacement of the renminbi NDF by deliverable CNY trades has progressed furthest in the offshore centres that have traded the renminbi the longest. Asian centres enjoyed an early lead in renminbi trading under the strategy of renminbi internationalisation.

non-deliverable forwards

The use of NDFs is significantly influenced by regulatory environments, especially in countries where currency controls or restrictions are in place. NDFs provide a viable solution for businesses to navigate these regulatory challenges while still managing currency risk effectively. The legal framework and regulatory stance in a particular jurisdiction can impact the availability and use of NDFs. In conclusion, the Non-Deliverable Forward (NDF) serves as a robust financial mechanism for companies like Company X, allowing them to proactively manage and mitigate currency risk. Effectively, the borrower has a synthetic euro loan; the lender has a synthetic dollar loan; and the counterparty has an NDF contract with the lender. The base currency is usually the more liquid and more frequently traded currency (for example, US Dollar or Euros).

Non-Deliverable Forwards

J.B. Maverick is an active trader, commodity futures broker, and stock market analyst 17+ years of experience, in addition to 10+ years of experience as a finance writer and book editor. There are also active markets using the euro, the Japanese yen and, to a lesser extent, the British pound and the Swiss franc. There are also active markets using the euro, the Japanese yen, and, to a lesser extent, the British pound, and the Swiss franc. Investopedia does not provide tax, investment, or financial services and advice. The information is presented without consideration of the investment objectives, risk tolerance, or financial circumstances of any specific investor and might not be suitable for all investors. The trader would need to hold the Euro position for the year, earning interest at the European risk-free rate of 4%.

non-deliverable forwards

Its deliverable and non-deliverable markets persist in parallel even as arbitrage joins them and markets deepen. The Chinese renminbi’s recent internationalisation follows neither path and the offshore deliverable renminbi is outcompeting the NDF. A deliverable forward (DF) is a forward contract involving the actual delivery of the underlying currency at maturity.

Advantages of Non-Deliverable Forward Contracts

If foreign investors use NDFs to hedge exposures in local assets in times of stress, sales of these assets in the balance of payment statistics capture their behaviour only very partially. Analysts need not only to follow the What Is Crypto Wallet And The Way To Arrange Crypto Wallet money, ie measure capital flows, but also to follow the risk, and newly available data on NDFs can help (Caruana (2013)). However, not too much should be read into this finding, no matter how sophisticated the econometrics.

non-deliverable forwards

In this case, a cash settlement was used for the sole purpose of simplifying the delivery process. Importers and exporters generally use currency forwards to hedge against fluctuations in exchange rates. 9 Interviews with market participants in Hong Kong in late 2013 suggested that they perceived that the CNH had already eclipsed the NDF market in April. In the Triennial Survey, renminbi NDFs represented 71% of offshore forwards. Summing CNH forwards, CNH spot and renminbi NDFs, on the grounds that any one of them transforms currency exposure, NDFs were still 45% of such offshore trading.

Lower Trading Costs

NDF counterparties, however, may prefer to work with a limited range of entities (such as those with a minimum credit rating). The more active banks quote NDFs from between one month to one year, although some would quote up to two years upon request. The most commonly traded NDF tenors are IMM dates, but banks also offer odd-dated NDFs. NDFs are typically quoted with the USD as the reference currency, and the settlement amount is also in USD. Options contracts are basically forward contracts that provide an investor an option, but not an obligation, to complete a transaction at some point in time.

non-deliverable forwards

NDFs enable economic development and integration in countries with non-convertible or restricted currencies. They encourage trade and investment flows by allowing market participants to access these currencies in a forward market. Additionally, NDFs promote financial innovation and inclusion by offering new products and opportunities for financial intermediaries and end-users.

Nevertheless, either counterparty can cancel an existing contract by entering into another offsetting deal at the prevailing market rate. Finally, investors should understand that forward contract derivatives are typically considered the foundation of futures contracts, options contracts, and swaps contracts. This is because futures contracts are basically standardized forward contracts that have a formalized exchange and clearinghouse. A cash settlement is more complex than a delivery settlement, but it is still relatively straightforward to understand. For example, suppose that at the beginning of the year a cereal company agrees through a forward contract to buy 1 million bushels of corn at $5 per bushel from a farmer on Nov. 30 of the same year. Data made available through mandatory disclosure have made it possible to study NDF market dynamics at a high frequency.

Legal and Regulatory Risks

The mechanism for computing a currency forward rate is straightforward, and depends on interest rate differentials for the currency pair (assuming both currencies are freely traded on the forex market). The other major benefit of a currency forward is that its terms are not standardized and can be tailored to a particular amount and for any maturity or delivery period, unlike exchange-traded currency futures. Trades reported to the DTCC have reached $40-60 billion a day (Graph 1, right-hand panel). This is equivalent to a third to a half of the global volume in April 2013.

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